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Syria remains in a fragile post-conflict transition nearly one year after the fall of former President Bashar al-Assad. The country continues to face severe economic strain, persistent security challenges, and fragmented...
This report provides an assessment of the evolving security situation in Syria and the implications for OSAC member operations.
The fall of the Bashar al-Assad regime in Syria has created significant uncertainty regarding the security environment, governance, and stability of the Syrian state. This report provides a tactical-level assessment of t...
This report outlines the outcome of the offensive, the involvement of external actors, and the implications for the region.
Once a global terror threat that controlled large portions of Iraq and Syria, ISIS is now a shadow of its former self. In the era of COVID-19, its fighters are exploiting security vulnerabilities in Iraq, and consolidati...
Climate change is one of the most critical national security threats facing governments around the world. It has the potential, at the current rate, to worsen existing health, economic, and security conditions in fragile...
Thousands of demonstrators took to the streets across Europe over the past two weeks to protest the Turkish incursion into northeastern Syria. OSAC constituents have expressed concerns over these protests in addition to...
Since August 24, reports of Israeli drone strikes in Lebanon and Iraq, and airstrikes in Syria, have begun to circulate. All reported incidents appeared to target various Iranian actors in the region. The incidents have...
In 2018, the U.S. Department of State introduced the Travel Advisory system. Fifteen months after the system went into effect, the Department has unveiled its first significant modification: the addition of a new, separa...
At the start of 2017, the Syrian government held less than 17 percent of territory; today, in what appears to be the last turning point in the country’s civil war, it controls nearly 66 percent. This June, the government...
This report was produced as part of OSAC's Annual Briefing Series.Over the last decade, Iraq and Syria have each been hubs for internal conflict due to the prevalence of multiple ethnic and religious minority groups hist...
This report was produced as part of OSAC's Annual Briefing Series. As examined in previous OSAC reporting, Jabhat Fateh al-Sham (JFS) has established itself as a strong military force on the ground in Syria and an adapta...
Jabhat Fateh al-Sham’s (JFS) strategy and successes in Syria have been impacted by the rapid rise of the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL). Discord between JFS, al-Qa’ida core, and ISIL, as well as the declara...
In July 2016, following months of speculation, designated terrorist organization Jabhat al-Nusra (aka al-Nusra Front) announced that it had dissolved external ties, suggesting an end to its relationship with al-Qa’ida, a...
Military developments in Syria such as the recent Russian military intervention continue to generate widespread international attention as the Syrian conflict enters its fifth year and the Islamic State of Iraq and the L...
Early tests show that the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL) used chemical agents during an attack on Kurdish Peshmerga forces on August 11 in Makhmour, Iraq. U.S. government officials reported that preliminary...
In June 2014, the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL) gained significant territory in central and northwest Iraq. This presentation features a timeline of ISIL territorial gains and provides context to their cap...
Since the outbreak of violence in Syria in 2011, concerns over regional implications and spillover impact have swelled. The long-term impact on Israel, Iraq, Jordan, Lebanon, and Turkey will likely vary based on the outc...
On August 21, 2013, open source reports surfaced that the Syrian regime had used chemical weapons against Syrian civilians in East Ghouta – a suburb of Damascus. Within days, speculation surfaced of the possibility of a...
Most geopolitical discussions of left-wing terrorism are usually reserved for reminiscing about decades past. In this context, the threat of Turkish left-wing terrorism that resurfaced in 2012 was met with skepticism. Ho...
OSAC Bureau of Diplomatic Security U.S. Department of State